Normally, Poor Scholars isn’t inclined to produce a post on someone else’s predictions, but Nate Silver is a baller, so we’re making an exception.
If you live under a rock, Silver would likely be able to analyze that rock’s voting patterns and predict it’s political outcomes. This is because, Silver, a statistician and founder of the FiveThirtyEight.com has been the go-to guru of statistical analysis for things ranging from baseball — he developed PECOTA — to predicting presidential elections — he correctly predicted 99 of the 100 states in the last two elections.
So now, Silver is taking a shot at predicting the Oscars, something he tried before in 2009 and 2011. You can find his predictions here.
So if you need to clean up in your Oscars pool, you might want to follow Mr. Silver’s advice.